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Trump administration considering easing sanctions on shadow-fleet tankers to ease tanker crunch; oil prices fall

What happened

Reuters reported, citing an unnamed U.S. official, that the Trump administration is considering easing sanctions on some vessels in the so-called shadow fleet — tankers used to transport oil and fuels from Venezuela, Russia, and Iran — in a bid to ease a deepening tanker crunch and bring down record freight rates. Shippers wanting to use a sanctioned tanker would have to apply to the U.S. Treasury Department. Oil prices fell on the news: Brent slid to about $104.39/bbl (from above $106 earlier in the week) and WTI to about $94, with Thursday's decline also reflecting signs of recovering Gulf supplies and a weaker IEA demand outlook.

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Who’s affected

  • Oil majors and refiners: lower crude and freight costs would ease input and logistics costs; a lower war premium pressures upstream realizations.
  • Tanker/shipping owners (e.g., Frontline, International Seaways, Euronav-type VLCC operators): easing sanctions would add vessel supply and could deflate record freight rates — negative for tanker earnings.
  • U.S. crude exporters: record freight rates have dampened demand for U.S. crude, so cheaper shipping could help U.S. barrels compete.
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