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Fed Governor Lisa Cook expects inflation pressure to persist on AI demand and oil; stopped short of calling for more hikes; October hike odds ~70%

What happened

Fed Governor Lisa Cook (an FOMC voter) said Monday she expects inflationary pressure to persist in coming months — driven by AI-related demand and higher oil prices — and that the labor market is "well positioned to handle an increase in rates." She stopped short of saying more rate hikes will be needed and did not validate market expectations. Fed funds futures price ~70-75% odds of an October hike.

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Who’s affected

  • broad US equities
  • Treasury bond market
  • interest-rate-sensitive sectors (utilities, REITs, small caps)
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Smart Money Hub · build Oct 9, 2026, 2:02 PM EDT